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Volume 15, Issue 1 (Spring 2025)
Disaster Prev. Manag. Know. 2025, 15(1): 86-103 |
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Pourasghar J, Arab Baferani M, Momenizahed M. A localized Environmental Scanning Model Tailored to Scanning Urban Crises for the Tehran Municipality. Disaster Prev. Manag. Know. 2025; 15 (1) :86-103
URL: http://dpmk.ir/article-1-722-en.html
URL: http://dpmk.ir/article-1-722-en.html
1- Department of Future Studies, Faculty of Imam Hussein (AS), Imam Hussein (AS) University, Tehran, Iran.
Abstract: (577 Views)
Background and objective One of the new ways of identifying and planning to deal with future crises is futures research. One of the techniques of futures research is “environmental scanning” (ES). It is a type of recording and obtaining information through exploration and search that is used to understand environmental changes and developments. This research aims to provide a localized model of the ES tailored to scanning urban crises for the Tehran municipality.
Method Participants were 12 experts who had a background in research or work in the field of ES and in Tehran municipality. Semi-structured interviews and focused group discussions were used to collect data. After reviewing the literature and existing models (n=13), the features of these models were extracted and ranked in terms of compliance with the missions of the Tehran Municipality based on the opinions of experts.
Results Bradley–Terry (1997)’s ES model ranked first with 114 points. The final ES process model had three sections: input, analysis, and output. The input section of the system included the departments responsible for ES. The analysis section was responsible for the ES system management. The output section was responsible for implementation and operational action.
Conclusion The ES model provided in this study can help the officials of Tehran municipality and other organizations in Iran with scanning urban crises.
Method Participants were 12 experts who had a background in research or work in the field of ES and in Tehran municipality. Semi-structured interviews and focused group discussions were used to collect data. After reviewing the literature and existing models (n=13), the features of these models were extracted and ranked in terms of compliance with the missions of the Tehran Municipality based on the opinions of experts.
Results Bradley–Terry (1997)’s ES model ranked first with 114 points. The final ES process model had three sections: input, analysis, and output. The input section of the system included the departments responsible for ES. The analysis section was responsible for the ES system management. The output section was responsible for implementation and operational action.
Conclusion The ES model provided in this study can help the officials of Tehran municipality and other organizations in Iran with scanning urban crises.
Type of Study: Applicable |
Subject:
Special
Received: 2024/10/10 | Accepted: 2024/12/3 | ePublished: 2025/03/30
Received: 2024/10/10 | Accepted: 2024/12/3 | ePublished: 2025/03/30
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